Download All about market timing by Leslie Masonson PDF

By Leslie Masonson

Use marketplace timing to generate optimistic returns―with reduce volatility!

Events of the earlier decade have confirmed past doubt that buy-and-hold options don’t paintings in endure markets. marketplace timing, notwithstanding, is very potent in declining markets―and it presents optimistic returns in bull markets, as well.

All approximately marketplace Timing, moment variation, deals easy-to-use market-timing ideas you could weave into your funding strategy. And it’s now not as advanced as you might imagine. very quickly, you’ll grasp the talents you must maximize gains whereas minimizing risk―no subject what course the marketplace takes. with out the incomprehensible jargon and intricate theories of alternative books, All approximately industry Timing covers:

  • The 5 so much ecocnomic innovations for timing the marketplace
  • The top market-timing assets on hand this present day, from newsletters to sites to advisors
  • Four symptoms for deciding upon the market’s well-being
  • Techniques for timing even the main bearish of markets

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Sample text

Consider using market timing to help you achieve that goal. That is what the heart of this book is all about—providing simple strategies to keep you on the right side of the market. I want to emphasize here that this book and market timing are not about stock selection. The key to market timing is knowing when to enter the market and when to exit. All stocks are bad unless they go up in prices. The best stocks lose money in bear markets. At least 80 percent of stocks decline in a bear market. The art of the game is to be in the market at the right times, and to be out of the market at the right times.

Some of the well-known names on a number of the yearly lists included Joseph V. , Hugh Johnson, Philip J. Orlando, and Jeffrey Applegate. Table 1-1 shows the composite results of all of their forecasts over four years for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), the Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500), and the Nasdaq Composite Index. The table delineates for each year the high, low, and consensus forecast of all the forecasters for each of the three popular market averages. As you can see, starting with the first forecast for the 2000 stock market made at the end of 1999, the forecasters had a poor record.

Avon Products stock was stagnant for 24 years, and Black & Decker took 23 years to get back to its peak price. 38 by year-end 2002. And hundreds of Internet stocks and technology stocks lost 90 percent or more of their value in just three years. Even the stable stocks and growth stocks suffered substantial damage; witness what happened in the banking sector, Internet sector, automobile sector, and chemicals. To look at the double speak of the mutual managers you only need to know that equity mutual fund portfolio turnover was around 15 percent in the 1950s through 1964, rose to 48 percent in the early 1970s, to 75 percent in 1983, 111 percent in 1987, dropped back to 74 percent in 1993–1994, and rose again to 90 percent in 2000 and 111 28 MARKET-TIMING BASICS percent in June 2002.

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